THE BETSFILED GUIDE
Double chance vs draw no bet.
Two different ways to handle the draw.
Understand the market
Double chance combines two results. A 1X selection succeeds on a home win or a draw. X2 covers an away win or a draw, while 12 requires either team to win. A selection can still lose whenever the uncovered outcome occurs.
Read the numbers
Draw no bet handles a draw differently: a draw normally returns the stake under the bookmaker’s rules, while a win or loss depends on your selected team. It is therefore not equivalent to combining the win and draw as a double chance selection. Always check the market’s settlement terms.
Put the estimate in context
For a coherent 1X2 model, the probability of 1X is the sum of home-win and draw probabilities. A higher combined probability normally corresponds to a shorter price. A large probability alone does not establish value, and model estimates need a track record before confidence in their accuracy is justified.
A LITTLE MORE CLARITYGood questions.
Clear answers.
Understand the predictions before you explore the picks.
Our full methodology ↗ Are Betsfiled football predictions free?+
Yes. Published match previews, market selections and results are free to read. No registration or paid prediction subscription is required.
How are the predictions calculated?+
Where enough mapped history exists, a Dixon-Coles model learns separate attack and defence strengths with extra weight on recent matches. Otherwise a clearly labelled Poisson fallback uses current home and away records.
Do predictions guarantee a winning bet?+
No. A forecast describes possible outcomes, not certainty. A model probability is not a verified win rate, and losing selections remain visible in the results archive.
When are match predictions updated?+
Eligible forecasts are generated before kick-off when enough data is available. The original published selection is retained. Scores are refreshed on a schedule, so this is not a real-time livescore service.
Where do the football statistics come from?+
Current fixtures and tables can come from football-data.org, while free API-Football seasons from 2022–2024 can supply model history. Keys remain separate, coverage depends on each account, and Betsfiled generates the model output and commentary.
Which timezone do the fixtures use?+
Fixture dates and page filters use UTC for a consistent archive. You can choose local kick-off times using the timezone selector; the selected page date remains labelled in UTC.
Where can I check previous predictions?+
The Results page lists the original prediction, final 90-minute score and outcome. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from normal-time market settlement.